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Commercial Real Estate Is ‘Melting Down Fast’, Will Residential Housing Sink Next?

Writer's picture: CUHK Quant Trading SocietyCUHK Quant Trading Society



Key Takeaways:

  • Home prices are a rise lately as the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price index rose by 0.4% MoM and 0.7% YoY in March

  • Residential real estate markets nationwide saw a brief decline in home activity during the onset of the pandemic but soon rose due to a demand-and-supply imbalance

  • Improved macro environment would continue to boost home demands, yet the sluggish growth of the housing supply may hinder the market’s growth

  • The overall housing market is likely to remain tight until either home prices or mortgage rates decline sufficiently to put buyers, builders, and sellers into a more ideal equilibrium


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