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OPEC+ Might Have Shoved Economies in The Maze

Writer's picture: CUHK Quant Trading SocietyCUHK Quant Trading Society

Updated: Apr 20, 2023



Key Takeaways:

  • Members of the Organization of the Oil Exporting Countries (OPEC+) unexpectedly declared a curb in world output by over 1.6 million barrels per day on 2nd April

  • The decision quickly rippled across global oil markets, instantly causing the oil price to increase by 5%

  • The market has suggested a diverse spectrum of intentions behind the production cut, ranging from worries of weaker economic growth and demand from Western countries, to suppressing unwarranted wagers against crude prices

  • The supply cut risks aggravate the oil supply deficit in 2H23, boosting oil prices at a time of heightened economic uncertainty. The collision with the central bank’s intention to restrain demand creates macro concerns for inflation and future interest rate hikes

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