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US Macro Outlook: Volatility or Certainty?

Writer's picture: CUHK Quant Trading SocietyCUHK Quant Trading Society



Key Takeaways:

  • US stock market reacts in an increasingly complicated and bifurcated manner to Consumer Price Index (CPI) statistics

  • Resilient labor market despite cooling inflation complicates the Fed’s effort to shift toward a pause in the rate-hiking cycle potentially

  • The Fed raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) again, but hinted at a pause

  • Under elevated volatility, we anticipate a favorable outlook for fixed income but a gloomy one for equities


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Click here to read our latest quant research report, What insights could we obtain from the All Weather Portfolio? (cuqts.com)

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